Progression and Regression - Value for the National Championship

These takes are not a "They will win the Natty", its more of finding value at their current odds with the perception of being able to hedge down the road with the 12 team playoff format.

Earlier in the year, I had a ticket for 60-1 with Utah at the dumb assumption that Cam Rising would ACTUALLY STAY HEALTHY (This is his 7th season). Now we are back mid season to get this Elevator to the top floor.

Clemson to Win Natty - 14-1

Clemson has a legit path to be ACC champion, top 4 seed, and have been playing great ball after getting stomped by Georgia opening weekend. That weekend is far past this team, who has Cade Klubnick being the game manager they need to be, and the BIGGEST reasoning is their offensive line only allowing 5 sacks (2 against Georgia week 1). I think Miami will stumble before the ACC championship, as its been close in every game they play. Clemson is favored to win the ACC and they are a great play when looking at that tier of contenders (UT, Miami, Bama). I believe these odds will trend down in the next couple of weeks to under 10-1, so get it now.

LSU to Win Natty - 33-1

I LOVE THIS PLAY. LOVE LOVE LOVE. The SEC is going to completely beat each other up and thats been the case every week. You have a new top dog in the South every week, and I am all in on LSU for one sole reason: Their schedule. Who are the two teams left in the SEC Undefeated? LSU AND TEXAS A&M. This will be the biggest test for LSU going to Kyle stadium and playing an Aggies team who is trending in the right direction, but a win here will build their confidence even more leading up to the matchup in Baton Rouge against a Bama team that you never know what you will get. They get out of here 2-0 over these next two weeks, those Natty odds are cut in half with them in the drivers seat to the SEC Championship being the only undefeated team left. These odds will only trend down from here after this week and I am a huge believer in this team making a run.